Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#225
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#214
Pace62.1#283
Improvement-2.1#245

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#208
Improvement-0.4#188

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#240
Improvement-1.6#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 292   Montana St. W 78-72 78%     1 - 0 -5.4 -7.1 +1.2
  Nov 15, 2011 287   Pepperdine L 60-66 76%     1 - 1 -16.8 -12.2 -4.9
  Nov 18, 2011 14   New Mexico L 71-76 10%     1 - 2 +5.5 +3.1 +2.6
  Nov 24, 2011 120   Fairfield L 44-55 26%     1 - 3 -7.7 -20.8 +12.3
  Nov 25, 2011 195   Wake Forest W 84-56 44%     2 - 3 +26.2 +9.1 +16.9
  Nov 27, 2011 156   DePaul L 64-68 34%     2 - 4 -3.0 -11.2 +8.2
  Dec 03, 2011 94   @ Tulsa W 67-64 13%     3 - 4 +11.6 +8.8 +3.3
  Dec 07, 2011 100   Nevada L 61-69 32%     3 - 5 -6.6 -8.2 +1.3
  Dec 10, 2011 164   North Dakota St. W 60-57 49%     4 - 5 -0.2 -11.1 +11.2
  Dec 17, 2011 338   Northern Arizona L 68-69 92%     4 - 6 -20.0 -5.9 -14.2
  Dec 19, 2011 69   Southern Miss L 61-64 25%     4 - 7 +0.6 -1.8 +1.9
  Dec 21, 2011 177   Fresno St. L 65-68 53%     4 - 8 -7.1 +3.2 -10.8
  Dec 31, 2011 47   @ Arizona L 51-68 8%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -4.9 -11.9 +6.0
  Jan 05, 2012 219   @ USC W 62-53 36%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +9.3 +11.9 -0.3
  Jan 07, 2012 59   UCLA L 58-75 15%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -9.1 +0.1 -12.3
  Jan 12, 2012 66   Oregon L 58-67 24%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -5.1 -4.2 -2.5
  Jan 14, 2012 92   Oregon St. W 76-66 30%     6 - 11 2 - 3 +12.0 -1.8 +13.5
  Jan 19, 2012 86   @ Colorado L 54-69 12%     6 - 12 2 - 4 -5.9 -6.6 -1.0
  Jan 21, 2012 296   @ Utah L 43-64 56%     6 - 13 2 - 5 -25.9 -15.9 -17.2
  Jan 26, 2012 67   Washington L 54-60 25%     6 - 14 2 - 6 -2.2 -12.9 +10.2
  Jan 28, 2012 136   Washington St. W 71-67 41%     7 - 14 3 - 6 +2.9 -0.2 +3.4
  Feb 02, 2012 64   @ Stanford L 44-68 10%     7 - 15 3 - 7 -13.2 -11.1 -7.6
  Feb 04, 2012 34   @ California L 47-68 6%     7 - 16 3 - 8 -6.9 -15.3 +6.6
  Feb 09, 2012 296   Utah W 57-52 79%     8 - 16 4 - 8 -6.8 -14.8 +8.6
  Feb 11, 2012 86   Colorado L 49-63 29%     8 - 17 4 - 9 -11.7 -16.8 +4.0
  Feb 16, 2012 67   @ Washington L 69-77 10%     8 - 18 4 - 10 +2.6 +0.5 +2.1
  Feb 18, 2012 136   @ Washington St. L 50-72 19%     8 - 19 4 - 11 -16.3 -14.8 -4.9
  Feb 23, 2012 59   UCLA L 57-66 23%     8 - 20 4 - 12 -4.5 -7.9 +2.5
  Feb 25, 2012 219   USC W 56-52 62%     9 - 20 5 - 12 -2.5 -2.9 +1.1
  Mar 04, 2012 47   Arizona W 87-80 21%     10 - 20 6 - 12 +12.3 +19.0 -6.6
  Mar 07, 2012 64   Stanford L 65-85 16%     10 - 21 -12.6 -1.3 -11.5
Projected Record 10.0 - 21.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%